Increase of additional 3%! - Report on scrypt profitability
Posted: Mon Aug 20, 2018 11:22 am
Last Monday, you may recall that we stated that we would be increasing scrypt profitability by 4% for one week, and then performing an evaluation to determine impacts on profitability, hashrate, and customer satisfaction. The research has now been completed.
After all the numbers had time to adjust, on Sunday I performed a test of a 15 MH/s Zeusminer at litecoinpool and here. At Litecoinpool, the miner earned 0.0001366473225216 LTC. On Monday morning, the same miner here earned an adjusted time amount of 0.0001337544731149189186 LTC. The amount was adjusted because it's impossible to get it to run for exactly the same length of time on both pools. The ratio of earnings here to earnings at litecoinpool was 0.9788298. This number significantly improves upon CSZiggy's records from earlier, where he was reporting much lower earnings with the previous rate. To me, it seems like earning 98% of what litecoinpool earns is very competitive against them, given that they don't offer payouts in other coins, they don't provide the same level of customer service, they are anonymous, and they are not following all regulations, to our knowledge.
I then compared hashrates over the past few weeks. One month ago, litecoinpool had a hashrate of 57 TH/s, and declined today to 33TH/s, or 57.8% their previous hashrate. The litecoin network as a whole declined in hashrate from 313TH/s to 230TH/s, or 73.4% of previous hashrate. Prohashing increased from 5.397TH/s to a current rate of 5.617TH/s, or 104.1% of previous hashrate. Prohashing had actually declined to 5.4TH/s in the interim but rose again, possibly indicating that the profitability changes had a positive effect on hashrate. However, a 31% total difference from the LTC hashrate is insufficient to fund the fee reduction, given how low margins are.
I then ran a query into our luck and payouts. From what I can tell, we had a good week, finding 1.222 of expected value for litecoins. According to the query, we paid 0.891 of expected value. That's surprising and needs investigation. I think it is caused by a bug in how Digibytes are being calculated.
Until we can determine the cause of the bug, I decided to manually increase scrypt profitability by another 3%, for a total of 7%. This change will allow me to determine whether making this pool outright more profitable than litecoinpool will double hashrate, which is what we need for the change to be profitable and sustainable.
The changes are effective immediately. Enjoy the extra money! I'll perform another evaluation next Monday.
After all the numbers had time to adjust, on Sunday I performed a test of a 15 MH/s Zeusminer at litecoinpool and here. At Litecoinpool, the miner earned 0.0001366473225216 LTC. On Monday morning, the same miner here earned an adjusted time amount of 0.0001337544731149189186 LTC. The amount was adjusted because it's impossible to get it to run for exactly the same length of time on both pools. The ratio of earnings here to earnings at litecoinpool was 0.9788298. This number significantly improves upon CSZiggy's records from earlier, where he was reporting much lower earnings with the previous rate. To me, it seems like earning 98% of what litecoinpool earns is very competitive against them, given that they don't offer payouts in other coins, they don't provide the same level of customer service, they are anonymous, and they are not following all regulations, to our knowledge.
I then compared hashrates over the past few weeks. One month ago, litecoinpool had a hashrate of 57 TH/s, and declined today to 33TH/s, or 57.8% their previous hashrate. The litecoin network as a whole declined in hashrate from 313TH/s to 230TH/s, or 73.4% of previous hashrate. Prohashing increased from 5.397TH/s to a current rate of 5.617TH/s, or 104.1% of previous hashrate. Prohashing had actually declined to 5.4TH/s in the interim but rose again, possibly indicating that the profitability changes had a positive effect on hashrate. However, a 31% total difference from the LTC hashrate is insufficient to fund the fee reduction, given how low margins are.
I then ran a query into our luck and payouts. From what I can tell, we had a good week, finding 1.222 of expected value for litecoins. According to the query, we paid 0.891 of expected value. That's surprising and needs investigation. I think it is caused by a bug in how Digibytes are being calculated.
Until we can determine the cause of the bug, I decided to manually increase scrypt profitability by another 3%, for a total of 7%. This change will allow me to determine whether making this pool outright more profitable than litecoinpool will double hashrate, which is what we need for the change to be profitable and sustainable.
The changes are effective immediately. Enjoy the extra money! I'll perform another evaluation next Monday.