Status as of Friday, December 8, 2017
Posted: Fri Dec 08, 2017 8:05 am
Good morning!
- Now that we got through yesterday's crazy day, I have some time to sit back and provide an overview of what's going on.
- First, the difficulty of litecoin increased by 25%, and is expected to increase by another 40%, pushing profits below 2 cents by tomorrow. Some former Nicehash miners have commented on the low profitability, but unfortunately I think it's reasonable to expect that scrypt profitability is in the beginning of a decline to the mean, which will probably be less than 0.2 cents given historic levels. All pools will continue to drop across the board at an increasing rate.
- We lost a lot of money over the past few days. On Tuesday, we withdrew $40,000 from our accounts to pay miners who were mining during the orphan period for bitconnectcoins. On Wednesday, the price of bitcoins rose dramatically, causing enormous losses since we were mining litecoins and had to wait 100 blocks to turn them into bitcoins. We need to figure out a better way to protect ourselves against massive price rises like that and will be investigating it sometime soon.
- My immediate goals for this weekend are to make the system more resilient. We're pretty confident that the system is now stable, but starting the components up in the wrong order can cause strange results. I want to figure out why that is and to make the system better able to recover from errors, in case they happen again. After that, my primary goal is going to be converting the Coinbase payouts to use litecoins, since the bitcoin transaction fees are ridiculous.
- As is usual with these releases, the problems that crop up are typically not related to the release itself. For example, during the x11 release, we found bugs in the mining server that had always existed, but were never exposed until more people used them. Just to provide a brief overview of what we fixed yesterday: first, the system was going on and off in the morning and it took us about 6 hours to determine that there simply wasn't enough memory in the crossbar.io WAMP server. The server ran out of memory simply because there were more customers drawn in by the release, not as a result of to a bug. Then, we saw that some miners were disconnecting and reconnecting, and found that our bandwidth had been exhausted. Again, the cause was that more customers required us to increase the limit, rather than there actually being a bug.
- Chris corrected yesterday's balances and hashrates, so all customers should have seen an increase overnight.
- To enable SHA-256 mining, we're going to need new servers (since the servers we had already dedicated to it were used up by this sudden increase in miners) and more reserve (since we lost so much money during yesterday's bitcoin increase). A bitcoin block is worth almost a quarter million dollars, so to mine those with pay-per-share, we will need a huge amount of reserve.
- Chris is working on adding new coins to improve profitability, but I don't think we're going to get much out of that. He's only found four new coins so far. He'll also be discontinuing Novaexchage's coins this weekend and making final payouts of those.