GregoryGHarding wrote:Steve Sokolowski wrote:I thought that the proof-of-work period ended in five months. Is that not true?
But even if Bitconnectcoin stays profitable, it's a sad fact for miners coming online now that the best they can probably hope for is one cent, in the best-case scenario. The last generation of miners was running at 2 cents before this bubble.
i heard the same steve, and then rumors of a ponzi scheme was going around so maybe they reversed the decision? either way, profit is on the decline, anyone who refuses to believe it is just in denial.
Totally, agree, profit is declining for two reasons:
1.) More miners/hashrate - if there's more hashrate applied for the same reward and diff rises as a consequence while the price of the coin in BTC or USD remains constant, then you mine less coins per MH/s and profit falls measured in coins per MH/s which are then sold for the constant BTC/USD per coin.
2.) If coin prices fall while network hash (ie miners), diff, and reward remain the same, then you're mining the same amount of coins per MH/s but profits will also fall measured in $ per MH/s.
I'm not convinced all miners understand the differences above. What's happening at the moment is that we're being hit with both methods of falling prices at once. Scrypt coins are falling against BTC and then via BTC to USD, and more hashrate is piling into the network hashrate through round after round of L3+s which is increasing diff and lowering rewards per Mh/s.
These are the things we should be concerned about. Throwing in the demise of one of the most profitable coins in the face of it's published roadmap and lack of verifiable evidence is not helping, and Steve, if you've based you future business model on the absence of Bitconnectcoin, I think you need to revisit your assumptions. In this respect I hope your model looks mich better and gives you confidence to continue the development of the pool at a faster pace.
Personally I disagree with the assertion that scrypt will fall to 0.5c in January. My view is that the Chinese will re-open their exchanges once they have licences with good KYC and AML processes in place, and the market will broadly recover, and BCC, LTC, and GMC will go 2x or more in $ terms in the next 6 months offsetting 1.) above through increased price per mined coin so that we hit rock bottom in early Decemeber in $ terms (personally I hodl so only care about coin per MHS), and profits rise steadily after that.
China are terified about capital flight in the face of devaluing the Yuan for the last 18 months, but if they're afraid of that, they're more afraid of not being able to control crypto trading, and the best way to control it is to have well regulated exchanges in China they can oversee.
I also disagree that we're in a bubble. Step back and you can see that's we've just begun to emerge from the early adopter phase of a typical technology lifecyle into the Early Majority phase. In addition, 2nd gen cryptocurrencies are beginning to deliver applications that go beyond simply transfering value in the absence of a trusted third party. The tech is evolving alongside public and regulatory awareness so there's really no way to predict the future based on a 2014 past when there was only BTC, LTC, Dogecoin, and a few other Gen 1 clones that had limited functionality beyond transfer of value